BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 2A Class Rank: 69 Conference: (3-12) Overall: (8-16) Overall Strength =   65.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2011 Away    L    60.74  37  61   1A   6 (22- 1) Harris-Lake Park       -4.37    -19.63                      
  2 12/02/2011 Away    L    56.83  44  73   2A  26 (17- 6) Forest City            -8.28    -20.72                      
  3 12/06/2011 Away    L *  61.51  40  67   2A  18 (15- 9) Emmetsburg             -3.60    -23.40                      
  4 12/09/2011 Away    L *  52.64  27  53   3A  45 ( 9-13) Spencer               -12.47    -13.53                      
  5 12/10/2011 Away    L *  71.94  37  66   3A   6 (18- 5) LeMars                  6.84 *  -35.84                      
  6 12/12/2011 Home    W    72.88  57  36   2A  85 ( 8-14) North Sentral           7.78     13.22                      
  7 12/13/2011 Home    L *  73.46  53  64   3A  24 (14- 9) Storm Lake              8.35    -19.35                      
  8 12/16/2011 Home    W *  68.41  68  64   2A  73 ( 3-18) Cherokee Washington     3.30      0.70                      
  9 12/17/2011 Home    W    65.80  52  42   1A 100 ( 5-18) Lake Mills              0.69      9.31                      
 10 01/03/2012 Away    L *  64.51  33  56   3A  25 (14- 8) Spirit Lake            -0.60    -22.40                      
 11 01/05/2012 Home    W    73.80  59  53   1A  56 ( 7-15) Pocahontas PA-P-P       8.70     -2.70                      
 12 01/09/2012 Away    L    53.09  44  64   EX  66 ( 1- 1) Jackson County Centr  -12.02     -7.98                      
 13 01/12/2012 Home    L    66.58  49  58   1A  28 (18- 5) Newell-Fonda            1.47    -10.47                      
 14 01/13/2012 Away    L *  62.96  31  65   2A   5 (16- 8) Western Christian      -2.15 *  -31.85                      
 15 01/16/2012 Home    W    66.71  72  54   1A 128 ( 6-16) Ruthven-Ayrshire        1.60     16.40  was 12/03 now 01/16 
 16 01/17/2012 Home    W *  95.39  50  40   2A  18 (15- 9) Emmetsburg             30.28    -20.28                      
 17 01/21/2012 Home    L *  66.52  38  47   3A  45 ( 9-13) Spencer                 1.42    -10.42  was 01/20 now 01/21 
 18 01/24/2012 Away    L *  63.57  53  77   3A  24 (14- 9) Storm Lake             -1.54    -22.46                      
 19 01/27/2012 Away    W *  68.52  58  57   2A  73 ( 3-18) Cherokee Washington     3.42     -2.42                      
 20 01/31/2012 Home    L *  55.39  30  59   3A  25 (14- 8) Spirit Lake            -9.71    -19.29                      
 21 02/03/2012 Home    L *  51.83  23  69   3A   6 (18- 5) LeMars                -13.28 *  -32.72                      
 22 02/07/2012 Home    L *  54.84  28  67   2A   5 (16- 8) Western Christian     -10.26 *  -28.74                      
 23 02/13/2012 Home    W    62.88  54  43   2A  85 ( 8-14) North Sentral          -2.22     13.22                      
 24 02/16/2012 Away    L *  72.96  47  71   2A   5 (16- 8) Western Christian       7.85 *  -31.85                      
      Averages              65.16  45.2 58.6

Best game:   95.39 = 10 point win over Emmetsburg
Worst game:  51.83 = 46 point loss to LeMars
Team stdev:   9.44